HomeWorldForever Putinism: The Future...

Forever Putinism: The Future of Russian Leadership

Free Subscribtion

For almost a quarter of a century, Vladimir Putin has been at the helm of Russia’s leadership. His upcoming reelection to a fifth term as president is virtually certain, solidifying his grip on power for another six years. At 72 years old, Putin’s potential for ruling well into his 80s raises questions about the future of Russian leadership. With no clear successor, living rivals, or retirement plan in sight, the eventual death of Putin could trigger a vicious power struggle. In this article, we delve into the concept of “Forever Putinism” and explore the potential scenarios that may unfold after Putin’s departure, shedding light on the challenges and risks that lie ahead for Russia.

The Rise of Putin and the Absence of Rivals

Putin’s ascent to power began in 1999 when he was plucked from relative obscurity by ailing President Boris Yeltsin to serve as Russian prime minister. Within months, he became the acting president and has since maintained a firm grip on the country. One of the key factors contributing to Putin’s longevity is his leadership style that allows no rivals. Over the years, potential opposition figures like Alexei Navalny and Boris Nemtsov have faced dire consequences, including imprisonment and even death. Putin’s control over the political landscape has left his nominal rivals in this weekend’s election as state-sanctioned nobodies, reinforcing his dominance.

The Advantage of Putin’s Longevity in Foreign Affairs

Putin’s extended tenure in power provides him with a significant advantage in foreign affairs. Unlike countries where partisan changes occur every few years, Putin can navigate international relationships with a sense of continuity. He can patiently wait for friendlier leaders to emerge in countries like the United States, while his main foreign enemy, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, faces the pressure of maintaining popularity to secure his position. Putin’s experience and established relationships give him an upper hand, allowing him to solidify Russia’s geopolitical position.

The Vulnerabilities of Forever Putinism

While Putin’s long-term rule may seem like an advantage, it also creates vulnerabilities for his regime. Any regime that promises to last forever cannot afford to be perceived as a failure. The myth of Putin’s omnipotence and his presentation as the sole director of Russia’s destiny pose a long-term risk for the regime. The regime’s survival depends on maintaining the illusion of its inevitability and immortality, which becomes increasingly challenging over time.

Putin’s Best-Known Disciples and Potential Successors

Dmitry Medvedev, Putin’s best-known disciple, once held the position of president from 2008 to 2012 while Putin served as prime minister. Medvedev was initially seen as a potential reformer but has since adopted aggressive nationalism and derisive statements about Ukraine and the West. Other potential successors like Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin and military leaders such as Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu have limited popular support. The governor of Russia’s Tula region, Alexei Dyumin, with his background as Putin’s former personal bodyguard, has sparked speculation as a potential front-runner. However, it remains unclear who Putin sees as a suitable replacement, as he has not publicly endorsed a junior partner.

The Role of Putin’s Family in Succession

Unlike other strong leaders who often groom family members as successors, Putin has kept his daughters out of the public eye, offering no sign that they are being prepared for future leadership. Although he officially has two daughters, they are not publicly linked to him or involved in politics. Putin’s reluctance to establish a clear family succession plan adds to the uncertainty surrounding Russia’s future leadership.

- Advertisement -

Putin’s Health and the Speculation Surrounding His Succession

Speculation about Putin’s health has been a topic of discussion, with rumors of a heart attack circulating in the media. While these rumors lack evidence, they highlight the fact that Putin’s eventual departure is inevitable. His ability to play the long game has been evident in his foreign policy actions, such as the invasion of Ukraine. However, his departure from office is expected to trigger a bitter and chaotic power struggle.

The Challenges of Succession in a Post-Putin Era

The Russian constitution outlines that the prime minister automatically becomes the acting president with limited powers in the event of the president’s death or incapacitation. However, Russia’s current prime minister, Mikhail Mishustin, lacks a strong power base and is unlikely to become the permanent replacement. New presidential elections must be held within three months of the president’s departure, but the real power struggle will occur behind the scenes, potentially taking months or even years to resolve. The absence of a clear successor and the possibility of a violent power struggle raise concerns about the stability and future direction of Russia.

Lessons from History: Autocratic Succession and Power Struggles

History provides examples of autocratic successions that were messy and tumultuous. In Russia, coalitions proclaiming “collective leadership” briefly held power after the deaths of Vladimir Lenin and Josef Stalin. However, in each case, one member of the coalition outmaneuvered and eliminated their partners. These examples serve as reminders that autocratic successions often involve power struggles and uncertainty.

The Implications of Forever Putinism for Russia’s Future

Forever Putinism has shaped Russia’s political landscape and society, militarizing the nation and suppressing dissent. The war in Ukraine has solidified Putin’s image as a defender of Russia’s national interests, further strengthening his hold on power. However, the myth of Putin’s invincibility and the regime’s portrayal of forever Putinism as the only path forward present long-term risks. The eventual departure of Putin will undoubtedly lead to a period of turbulence and uncertainty, with the potential for a bloody power struggle that could reshape the country’s political landscape.

Conclusion: The Uncharted Path Ahead

As Vladimir Putin’s reign continues, the future of Russian leadership remains uncertain. The absence of a clear successor, living rivals, and a retirement plan leaves Russia on the brink of a power struggle once Putin eventually departs. Forever Putinism, with its advantages and vulnerabilities, has shaped Russia’s political landscape and foreign relations. The challenges of succession and the potential for instability highlight the complexities of navigating a post-Putin era. The world watches with anticipation as Russia prepares for an uncertain future, one that will undoubtedly have far-reaching implications for the country and its role on the global stage.

― ADVERTISEMENT ―

― YouTube Channel for Dog Owners ―

spot_img

Most Popular

Magazine for Dog Owners

Popular News

The Impact of the Ukraine War on Global Arms Manufacturers

The world's largest arms companies have experienced a significant decline in...

New Apple MacBook Pro Launch Just Days Away!

As the tech world buzzes with excitement, Apple enthusiasts are on...

― ADVERTISEMENT ―

Read Now

Boy Survives 5 Days in Game Park

In a remarkable tale of resilience and survival, an 8-year-old boy named Tinotenda Pudu was discovered alive after spending five harrowing days in the wilds of Matusadona National Park in Zimbabwe. Surrounded by lions, elephants, and other wildlife, his story has captivated many and sparked discussions about...

Science and Technology Predictions for 2024: What to Expect

As we embark on a new year, it's always exciting to look ahead and anticipate the advancements and breakthroughs that will shape the world of science and technology. The year 2024 holds great promise for innovation, discovery, and progress in various fields. From AI and healthcare to...

The Devastation of Khan Younis: Before and After

Welcome to a comprehensive exploration of the devastating impact of the Israel-Gaza conflict on the city of Khan Younis. In this article, we will delve into the before-and-after footage that vividly captures the destruction experienced by the residents. From the initial Israeli bombardment to the withdrawal of...

Superman’s New Trailer Unveils Robot Assistant Team

The anticipation surrounding the new Superman film is reaching fever pitch as director James Gunn teases viewers with an intriguing glimpse into his vision of the iconic hero. The recently released trailer offers a unique blend of humor, heart, and innovation, showcasing not only the trials of Superman but...

Unmasking the Horror: Inside Movie Smile 2

The horror genre continues to evolve, and with the release of Smile 2, audiences are once again confronted with the terrifying blend of psychological dread and supernatural elements. Directed by Parker Finn, this sequel seeks to expand on the chilling themes introduced in its predecessor while introducing fresh...

1 Gram of This Nutrient Slows Aging! (You Eat It Daily)

As we age, the quest for maintaining vitality and a youthful appearance becomes a common pursuit. Many men find themselves inundated with advertisements for anti-aging products, ranging from creams to supplements, all promising to turn back the clock. However, amidst this sea of options, one nutrient has...

Saudi Arabia Opens its First Liquor Store in Over 70 Years as the Kingdom Further Liberalizes

Saudi Arabia, the once-ultraconservative kingdom known for its strict Islamic mores, has taken another step towards social liberalization by opening its first liquor store in over 70 years. This development comes as Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman seeks to transform the kingdom into a tourism and business...

Movie Wonka Review: A Delightful Musical Origin Story of Willy Wonka

In the world of confections and imaginative tales, there is one name that reigns supreme - Willy Wonka. Known for his whimsical chocolate creations and enigmatic personality, Wonka has captured the hearts of audiences for decades. Now, in the new musical origin story "Wonka," director Paul King...

Apple Vision Pro 2024: Prepare to Be Mind-Blown with the Most Awaited Release Yet

The highly anticipated Apple Vision Pro mixed-reality headset is set to make its debut in 2024. With an eye-catching price tag of $3,499, this cutting-edge device is poised to become one of Apple's most important product launches of the year. After months of speculation about the release...

Wealth and Cancer: Unraveling the Surprising Link

In a startling revelation that challenges conventional wisdom, recent studies have uncovered a perplexing truth - wealthy individuals may face a greater cancer risk compared to their less affluent counterparts. This finding upends the common perception that socioeconomic status is a protective factor against the scourge of...

Groundbreaking Discovery: Elephants Communicate Using Unique “Names”

Elephants, the majestic creatures that have long captivated our imaginations, have once again astounded the scientific community with a remarkable revelation. A recent study has uncovered that these intelligent pachyderms possess the remarkable ability to call out to one another using individual "names" - a capability previously...

US Banning TikTok: What You Need to Know

In recent years, there has been a growing concern over the popular video-sharing app, TikTok. Amidst allegations of data privacy issues and potential national security threats, the United States government has taken steps towards banning the app. This has led to many questions and uncertainties among TikTok...

Global News

Install
×